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Carney Says Ottawa Examined Remote Risk of U.S. Military Action

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By Angel No Lie | KPD Online | 26 September 2026

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney says his government has examined the remote possibility of U.S. military action against Canada, describing the scenario as an “extreme tail risk” that responsible governments should consider even though it is not the expected outcome.

Carney made the comments in an interview with The New York Times during the United Nations General Assembly in New York. He did not disclose details of any contingency planning, saying only that considering such risks formed part of his government’s responsibility.

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Mark Carney Addresses Canada’s Security Concerns

Carney: It is risk management, not a forecast

Carney said leaders have a responsibility to consider extreme scenarios.

“That’s just risk management. That’s not a base case, but it would be irresponsible not to” prepare.

The terminology is important. In risk-management language, a “tail risk” refers to an event considered unlikely but potentially extremely consequential. Carney did not say that Ottawa expects the United States to attack Canada.

The Canadian prime minister also declined to explain what specific preparations had been made.

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Carney Says Ottawa Examined Remote U.S. Military Risk

Why has the issue emerged?

Relations between Ottawa and Washington have deteriorated amid a prolonged trade dispute and President Donald Trump’s repeated statements about Canada becoming the 51st U.S. state.

Trump previously ruled out using military force to annex Canada, while saying he could use economic pressure. More recently, however, his rhetoric about Canada’s relationship with the United States has remained a source of concern in Ottawa.

Trade negotiations between the two countries broke down in August, followed by additional tariffs and retaliatory measures. The economic relationship is particularly significant because Canada remains highly dependent on the U.S. market.

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Carney and Trump Navigate a Strained Canada-U.S. Relationship

Canada looks to reduce dependence on the United States

Carney has linked the current tensions to a broader effort to make Canada less dependent on its southern neighbour.

According to The New York Times interview, Ottawa is examining alternatives to several U.S.-linked systems and suppliers, including SpaceX’s Starlink satellite network and the planned purchase of F-35 fighter aircraft. Canada is also seeking to expand economic and diplomatic relationships with Europe and other partners.

Carney has argued that diversification would make Canada more resilient while still allowing it to maintain a close relationship with Washington.

Defence considerations

The comments come as Canada increases its attention to defence and sovereignty, particularly because of the country’s extensive Arctic territory and coastline.

Canada and the United States remain military allies through NATO and NORAD, making the prospect of an armed conflict between the two countries an extraordinary scenario.

Analysts cited by Al Jazeera described the possibility of U.S. military action as extremely remote. The same analysis noted the substantial difference between the military capabilities of the two countries.

Carney’s comments therefore appear to concern contingency planning rather than an announcement that Canada believes an attack is imminent.

Carney says communication with Trump continues

Despite the tensions, Carney said he and Trump continue to communicate frequently.

He told The New York Times that the two leaders can still discuss issues directly and that he believes there remains a route toward resuming trade negotiations.

That creates a notable contrast in the current relationship: Ottawa is simultaneously preparing for highly adverse scenarios while maintaining diplomatic and economic engagement with Washington.

What the statement does — and does not — mean

What Carney said What it does not establish
Ottawa examined an extreme military-risk scenario That an attack is expected
The scenario was treated as a “tail risk” That military preparations are underway for an imminent conflict
Canada believes responsible governments should consider severe risks That Canada has concluded the U.S. intends to attack
Canada is diversifying some economic, technological and defence relationships That Canada is ending its alliance with the United States
Carney continues to communicate with Trump That diplomatic relations have broken down completely

A relationship under unusual strain

Canada and the United States remain deeply connected economically, militarily and geographically. The current dispute is therefore significant precisely because the two countries have historically maintained one of the world’s closest bilateral relationships.

Carney’s remarks indicate that Ottawa is considering scenarios that would previously have been regarded as extraordinarily unlikely. At the same time, his characterization of the possibility as an “extreme tail risk” makes clear that he is not presenting military conflict as the government’s base-case expectation.

Independent assessment

The most important distinction is between contingency planning and prediction. Governments routinely assess low-probability scenarios because the consequences of failing to prepare for an extreme event can be significant. Carney’s public comments confirm that Ottawa has considered this particular scenario, but they do not establish that Canada expects U.S. military action.

The immediate issue remains the broader deterioration in Canada-U.S. relations, particularly over trade, sovereignty rhetoric and Canada’s efforts to reduce strategic dependence on the United States.

Sources: The New York Times interview as reported by The Irish Times, Canadian Press/Global News, Al Jazeera, Bloomberg and Reuters Connect.

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GTA Regional Directors Raise Concerns Over CEO Maame Efua Houadjeto’s Leadership

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Fourteen Regional Directors of the Ghana Tourism Authority (GTA) have raised concerns about the leadership approach of the Authority’s Chief Executive Officer, Maame Efua Houadjeto, during a meeting with the Board of Directors to address what they describe as persistent organisational challenges.

The meeting, held on Monday, October 12, 2026, at 3:00 p.m., was convened to discuss issues the Regional Directors say have remained unresolved since July 2026.

According to the Directors, the engagement was not intended to serve as an arbitration process but rather to obtain responses to questions and concerns they had previously raised.

During the meeting, the Directors expressed their displeasure with the CEO’s leadership approach, highlighting concerns about stakeholder engagement, regional coordination and other issues they believe are affecting the effective operation of the Authority.

They indicated that the concerns extend beyond individual disagreements and touch on broader institutional matters that require attention to ensure the smooth functioning of the GTA.

The Directors maintained that their position was motivated by the need to safeguard the integrity of the institution and restore effective operations across its regional structures.

They also called on the Board of Directors to facilitate a formal response from the Office of the CEO to the issues raised, stressing the need for the concerns to be addressed through the appropriate institutional channels.

The engagement provided an opportunity for the Regional Directors to formally communicate their grievances to the Board and seek its intervention in resolving the outstanding matters.

The meeting ended with a call for further intervention by the Board of Directors to ensure that the issues raised receive the necessary attention and responses.

It remains unclear what specific questions have been pending since July, what responses the Regional Directors expect from the CEO, or what steps the Board intends to take following the meeting.

The outcome of any subsequent engagement between the Board, the CEO and the Regional Directors is expected to be important in determining how the concerns will be addressed and how coordination within the Authority will be strengthened.

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Gamal Gorkeh Nkrumah, Son of Ghana’s First President, Dies in Cairo

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Gamal Gorkeh Nkrumah, son of Ghana’s founding President, Osagyefo Dr Kwame Nkrumah, has died in Cairo, Egypt, following a prolonged illness.

The Nkrumah family announced his death in a statement posted on the Facebook page of Samia Nkrumah, daughter of Ghana’s first president.

According to the statement, Gamal passed away peacefully in Cairo, where he had been receiving care at a rehabilitation centre after suffering a stroke.

The family described him as a beloved son, respected journalist, writer and intellectual who dedicated much of his life to examining the political, social and cultural developments shaping Africa and the wider world.

It said Gamal remained deeply committed to the ideals of justice, human dignity, African unity and international solidarity throughout his life.

As a journalist and commentator, he used his voice and intellect to analyse issues affecting Africa and the international community, earning recognition among friends, colleagues and readers who valued his insights and perspectives.

The family further described him as a man of profound intellectual curiosity, independent thought and quiet conviction, noting that he carried forward his father’s legacy in his own distinctive way while building a reputation based on his personal principles and achievements.

His death, the family said, represents a significant loss not only to his relatives and loved ones but also to the wider community of people who appreciated his work, humanity and engagement with important issues of his time.

The statement added that the family remembers Gamal with immense love, gratitude and pride, describing his wisdom, kindness and commitment to his values as an enduring source of inspiration.

The Nkrumah family also expressed appreciation to those who supported Gamal throughout his illness, particularly the medical professionals and caregivers in Cairo who provided him with treatment and care.

It extended its gratitude to the governments and people of both Egypt and Ghana for their support during the difficult period.

The family has appealed to the public to respect its privacy as it mourns the loss.

Details of memorial arrangements and opportunities for the public to pay tribute to Gamal Gorkeh Nkrumah’s life and legacy, according to the statement, will be communicated in due course.

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FOUR PROFESSORS SUE TO HALT GIMPA RECTOR SEARCH PROCESS AMID CONTROVERSY

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Four professors at the Ghana Institute of Management and Public Administration (GIMPA) have filed a lawsuit seeking to halt aspects of the process to select a search committee for the appointment of a new Rector, escalating tensions over the institution’s leadership transition.

The plaintiffs are Professors Lord Mawuko Yevugah, Wisdom Akpalu, Kwami Adanu and Patrick Tandoh-Offin. They filed the action on October 5, 2026, challenging aspects of the process involving the Chairman of GIMPA’s Governing Council, the Institute’s Secretary and the Rector.

At the centre of the dispute is the Convocation register used to determine who could vote for representatives on the Rector Search Committee. The professors contend that about 30 newly appointed or promoted lecturers were included on the register despite questions over whether their appointments had received the necessary approval from the Governing Council.

They argue that allowing the lecturers to participate in the election could undermine the legitimacy of the process and have asked the court to ensure that the selection of the search committee complies with GIMPA’s 2020 Statutes. They also want the committee’s composition and the respective roles of the Governing Council and Convocation clarified.

GIMPA management, however, has indicated that a special ad hoc committee audited the Convocation register and confirmed that those listed had valid appointments, based on Human Resource Management records. Exceptions reportedly applied to staff on leave of absence or secondment.

The Convocation election proceeded on October 6. According to reports, Professor Patrick Tandoh-Offin contested to represent the professorial class but lost to Professor Emmanuel Gyamfi Numapau, who received 118 votes against Tandoh-Offin’s 35.

The legal challenge comes as GIMPA prepares for the end of Rector Professor Samuel Kwaku Bonsu’s tenure in August 2027. The Institute’s statutes require the search process to begin ahead of the incumbent’s departure.

The case raises questions about voting eligibility, institutional governance and the procedures for selecting the next Rector. The court’s determination could affect the process, although the available reports do not establish that an injunction has been granted or that the election

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EPA ORDERS IMMEDIATE HALT TO UNAPPROVED RECLAMATION WORKS NATIONWIDE — GOVERNMENT AGENCIES, CONTRACTORS ON NOTICE

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The Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) has ordered an immediate halt to all land reclamation, mine-site rehabilitation, dredging and water-body restoration activities being undertaken without the requisite environmental permits across Ghana.

In a public notice issued on Wednesday, October 14, 2026, the Authority warned that institutions, companies, contractors and individuals operating without its approval must cease work immediately and report to the nearest EPA regional office or its head office for regulatory assessment.

The directive applies to both public and private projects, including government-sponsored, privately funded and donor-supported initiatives. The EPA specifically mentioned the Ministry of Lands and Natural Resources, Forestry Commission, Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod), Minerals Commission and Mineral Development Fund among the institutions required to ensure compliance.

Under Regulation 40 of the Environmental Protection (Environmental Assessment) Regulations, 2025 (L.I. 2504), reclamation and restoration activities fall within Ghana’s environmental assessment and permitting framework.

The covered activities include rehabilitating abandoned mining sites, backfilling excavated areas, restoring degraded land, revegetation, dredging and desilting rivers, modifying river channels and restoring polluted water bodies, wetlands and aquatic ecosystems.

The Authority stressed that securing a contract, obtaining funding approval, holding a mining lease or receiving authorisation from another public institution does not replace an EPA Environmental Permit. Similarly, consent from traditional authorities, memoranda of understanding and participation in government programmes cannot substitute for the required approval.

Contracting institutions have also been directed to verify the environmental permit status of projects before allowing contractors to mobilise to their sites.

The EPA acknowledged the importance of restoring lands and water bodies damaged by illegal and irresponsible mining but cautioned that rehabilitation efforts must not create further environmental destruction by bypassing regulatory safeguards.

It warned that individuals and institutions that continue unapproved operations after the notice would face action in accordance with applicable Ghanaian laws.

The directive reinforces the Authority’s position that environmental restoration, regardless of its funding source or purpose, must comply with the country’s permitting requirements.

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North Korea and China Open Long-Delayed Bridge

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The opening of the long-awaited New Yalu River Bridge marks a significant step towards strengthening cross-border transport and trade between China and North Korea.

China and North Korea have officially opened a major bridge linking the two countries, ending a 12-year delay that kept the infrastructure project unused despite its completion in 2014.

The New Yalu River Bridge connects the Chinese border city of Dandong, in Liaoning province, with Sinuiju in North Korea. The four-lane crossing stretches approximately three kilometres across the Yalu River and is expected to improve the movement of goods between the neighbouring countries.

The project was originally intended to begin operating in 2014. However, the opening was postponed for years as infrastructure on the North Korean side, including connecting roads and customs facilities, remained incomplete. Analysts have also pointed to strained bilateral relations and disagreements surrounding economic cooperation as possible contributing factors.

Trade and economic implications

The new crossing is expected to ease pressure on the older China–North Korea Friendship Bridge, which has served as a major route for official trade between the two countries.

By providing additional road capacity, the new bridge could improve freight transportation, reduce congestion and support the movement of essential goods. Its strategic location is particularly important because China remains North Korea’s principal trading partner.

Nevertheless, the opening does not automatically guarantee a rapid increase in trade. International sanctions imposed in response to North Korea’s nuclear and weapons programmes continue to constrain economic activity, while the scale of future commercial traffic will depend on border arrangements and the two governments’ economic policies.

A signal of closer bilateral engagement

The bridge’s inauguration comes amid renewed diplomatic engagement between Beijing and Pyongyang. It also highlights China’s continued economic importance to North Korea as the latter seeks to maintain relationships with key regional partners.

For China, improved transport links could facilitate cross-border commerce and support economic activity in Dandong. For North Korea, the bridge offers additional capacity for importing goods and developing commercial infrastructure around Sinuiju.

However, the project’s long delay illustrates how political disagreements and economic considerations can obstruct infrastructure intended to improve regional connectivity.

What happens next?

Attention will now turn to how quickly the bridge becomes an established route for commercial traffic and whether the additional capacity translates into measurable growth in bilateral trade.

While the opening represents an important infrastructure milestone, its longer-term economic and diplomatic impact will depend on the willingness of both governments to sustain cooperation and the restrictions governing North Korea’s international trade.

The opening ends a lengthy wait for the two countries, but the bridge’s ultimate significance will be measured by the trade and cooperation it enables in the years ahead.

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